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Despite Government Claims of Controlling Inflation; 2.6% Increase in Price Index in Dey Month

Feb 5, 2026 February 5, 2026 3 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

The Statistical Center of Iran reported a 2.6% increase in the consumer price index for households in Dey month, contradicting government claims of controlling inflation. Experts predict inflation will stabilize at current levels before rising again next year. This situation highlights the ongoing economic challenges faced by Iranian citizens.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: The reported inflation figures challenge the Iranian government's narrative of economic improvement, highlighting ongoing economic distress.

👥 Key Players

Ehsan Khandozi MENTIONED
Minister of Economy
"Responsible for economic policies and claims regarding inflation management in Iran."
Ibrahim Raisi MENTIONED
President of Iran
"As the head of state, his statements influence public perception and policy regarding economic issues."
Alinaghi Mashayekhi MENTIONED
Economist
"Provides critical analysis of Iran's economic situation, reflecting the views of experts on the ground."
Statistical Center of Iran MENTIONED
Government agency
"Responsible for reporting economic data, which is crucial for understanding inflation trends."

📰 What Happened

The Statistical Center of Iran reported a 2.6% increase in the consumer price index for households in Dey month, contradicting government claims of successfully controlling inflation. Experts predict that inflation will stabilize at current levels but may rise again next year.

  • Point-to-point inflation reached 38.5% compared to the previous year.
  • The inflation rate for the year ending in Dey month is at 43.6%.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: The rising inflation impacts the purchasing power of citizens, particularly affecting the middle and lower classes, and reflects broader economic mismanagement.
🌍 Regional: High inflation and economic instability in Iran could lead to increased regional tensions and affect neighboring countries economically and politically.
🌐 International: International observers may view Iran's economic struggles as a sign of the effectiveness of sanctions and the impact of domestic policies.

📚 Background

Iran has faced significant economic challenges over the past few years, including high inflation and unemployment, largely attributed to both domestic policies and international sanctions.

Iranian economic policies Impact of sanctions on Iran's economy
📡 Source: STATE MEDIA
📊 Confidence: 70%
While the Statistical Center is a government agency, its data may be used selectively by officials to support their narratives.

The Statistical Center of Iran in its latest report on the consumer price index for households in Dey month of the current year announced that it has increased by 2.6% compared to the previous month. Accordingly, the point-to-point inflation for households in the country in Dey month of the current year compared to Dey month of the previous year has been 38.5%. The statistics show that the monthly inflation in Dey month of the current year has also increased by 2.6% compared to the previous month. Additionally, the inflation rate in the year ending in the current month has reached 43.6% compared to the same period last year in Dey month 1402. Experts believe that inflation in Iran has reached a hard core and will experience minimal fluctuations in the current range until the end of the year, returning to a slow and steady increase next year. This is while officials of the Islamic Republic have repeatedly claimed a decrease in inflation and the continuation of its downward trend. In this context, Ehsan Khandozi, the Minister of Economy in the Islamic Republic government, compared the inflation of Azar month with Farvardin month and concluded that the government has been successful in controlling inflation. Ibrahim Raisi also claimed on the seventh of Dey in a nationwide assembly of the Society of Teachers of Qom Seminary that the government has reduced the inflation trend and this decrease will continue. The government’s claims come as the report from the Statistical Center shows that in Dey month 1402, the consumer price index for households reached 222.7, which is a 2.6% increase compared to the previous month, a 38.5% increase compared to the same month last year, and a 43.6% increase in the twelve months ending in the current month compared to the same period last year. Alinaghi Mashayekhi, an economist, described the current economic conditions of Iran in an editorial in the Donya-e-Eqtesad newspaper on Bahman 7, stating: 'Inflation is close to 40% and unemployment is high; the purchasing power of the middle and lower classes has decreased and continues to decline; gross national investment at fixed prices has been decreasing over the past decade; the exchange rate has increased, and the outflow of material and human capital from the country is significant.' This prominent economist wrote about the reasons for the current conditions: 'The current situation is the result of economic policies, foreign policies, and domestic, cultural, and social policies over the past few decades. This undesirable situation has not fallen from the sky upon us, but is the result of the decisions and policies of governments.'

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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