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Latest SHAMKH Report Indicates Decline in Economic Activities in Tir Month

Feb 6, 2026 February 6, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

The latest SHAMKH report reveals a decline in Iran's economic activities due to power outages, liquidity shortages, and banking issues. Many businesses are hesitant to raise prices amid fears of decreased demand, leading to financial losses. This situation highlights the ongoing economic challenges facing Iran.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Iran's economic decline poses significant risks to its stability and could have broader implications for the region and international relations.

👥 Key Players

Iran Chamber of Commerce MENTIONED
Research Center
"They provide critical economic data and insights that influence policy and business decisions in Iran."
Central Bank of Iran MENTIONED
Monetary Authority
"Responsible for currency allocation and monetary policy, impacting the overall economic stability and industry operations."
Economic Activists MENTIONED
Business Leaders
"Their opinions and actions reflect the real-time challenges faced by businesses in Iran, influencing economic trends."

📰 What Happened

The latest SHAMKH report indicates a decline in Iran's economic activities due to various factors, including power outages and banking issues. This decline has led many businesses to avoid raising prices, resulting in financial losses.

  • The Purchasing Managers' Index for Iran's economy dropped to 50.63, indicating economic contraction.
  • The industrial sector's index fell to 50.09, suggesting it is on the brink of recession.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: This decline in economic activity highlights the severe challenges facing Iranian businesses and the potential for increased unemployment and social unrest.
🌍 Regional: Economic instability in Iran could lead to increased tensions in the region, affecting neighboring countries economically and politically.
🌐 International: The situation may influence international perceptions of Iran, impacting negotiations and relations, particularly regarding sanctions.

📚 Background

Iran's economy has been under pressure from both international sanctions and internal mismanagement, leading to liquidity issues and production challenges.

Iran's economic sanctions Impact of currency devaluation on Iranian industries
📡 Source: NEUTRAL
📊 Confidence: 70%
The report is based on surveys from economic activists, providing a grounded perspective on the current economic situation.

The latest report of the Purchasing Managers' Index (SHAMKH) indicates a renewed decline in economic activities in Tir 1402 (June-July 2023), placing them in a critical condition. The website Farda-e Eghtesad, analyzing the SHAMKH report, states that according to the opinions of economic activists, power outages, severe liquidity shortages, and lack of cooperation from banks in providing facilities for securing necessary raw materials have put additional pressure on production and company costs. Consequently, many businesses, fearing a decrease in demand, did not raise prices, which has pushed some into the loss margin. The SHAMKH report is published monthly based on information obtained from surveys of economic activists and businesses by the Research Center of the Iran Chamber of Commerce. In the latest report related to Tir month, the Purchasing Managers' Index for the entire economy of Iran reached 50.63, indicating a decrease of 2.65 units compared to the previous month. Additionally, the SHAMKH index for the industrial sector decreased by 5.21 units to 50.09, which is considered the threshold between recession and growth. The industry's problems, aside from sanctions, include complex administrative bureaucracy and cumbersome regulations. Alongside these issues, the lack of currency allocation from the Central Bank has become one of the fundamental problems of the industry over the past year. As a result, most industries have been unable to obtain the necessary currency for importing raw materials and required machinery. The production of food items, including red meat and chicken, has also been affected by this issue.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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