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An Economics Professor: The Future Outlook is 'Unpleasant', We Face a 'Sub-Poverty' Class

Feb 6, 2026 February 6, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

Hosseyn Raghfar highlights the severe economic decline in Iran, with nearly 60% of the population living in poverty or close to it. The government is accused of hiding the truth behind fabricated statistics, leading to growing social issues, including child labor. This situation poses significant risks for the country's future stability.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Iran faces a critical economic crisis with nearly 60% of its population living in poverty, posing risks for social stability.

👥 Key Players

Hosseyn Raghfar MENTIONED
Economics Professor at Alzahra University
"Raghfar provides critical insights into Iran's economic situation and the social implications of poverty."
Saba Alaleh MENTIONED
Social Activist
"Alaleh highlights the social consequences of poverty, such as the rise in child labor."
Iranian Government MENTIONED
Ruling authority
"The government is responsible for economic policy and is accused of manipulating poverty statistics."

📰 What Happened

Hosseyn Raghfar warns of a severe economic decline in Iran, stating that nearly 60% of the population lives in poverty or close to it. He criticizes the government for concealing the truth about economic conditions through fabricated statistics.

  • 30% of the population lives below the poverty line, with another 27% close to it.
  • The poverty rate has increased from 19% to over 30% in the last decade.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: The rising poverty and class divide threaten social stability and could lead to increased unrest.
🌍 Regional: Economic instability in Iran could have spillover effects on neighboring countries, potentially increasing regional tensions.
🌐 International: The situation may draw international attention and aid efforts, as well as impact sanctions and diplomatic relations.

📚 Background

Iran has been grappling with economic challenges for over a decade, driven by inflation and currency devaluation, leading to a significant rise in poverty rates.

Economic sanctions on Iran Social unrest in Iran
📡 Source: NEUTRAL
📊 Confidence: 70%
The article presents expert opinions and statistics, but readers should consider the broader context of Iranian media and government narratives.

Hosseyn Raghfar, an economics professor at Alzahra University, states: "The class divide that has emerged in Iran poses the most dangerous potential for psychological, mental, and social harm, and there is no political will to overcome it." According to the Jamaran website, this economic analyst noted that the productive and middle class of the country has been vulnerable for years, adding: "In examining the impoverished classes, we are faced with a large population suffering from the phenomenon of 'sub-poverty', who are even deprived of a poor living." He also emphasized: "We do not see any hopeful outlook for the country's future; the slope of economic decline in Iran has accelerated, the government conceals realities and provides fabricated statistics to the people, but the people no longer believe the government's fabricated statistics." On Tuesday, the Faraz online newspaper reported, citing statistics published by officials, that 30% of the country's population lives below the poverty line, and another 27% are in conditions very close to poverty, meaning nearly 60% of the country's population is either absolutely poor or living with basic necessities. According to this media report, the flood of poverty began in the early 2010s, driven mainly by "inflation and the depreciation of the national currency." Accordingly, the Research Center of the Parliament has announced that over a decade, the poverty rate in the country has increased from 19% to over 30%, meaning that with a population of 86 million, more than 30 million Iranians are below the poverty line. This online newspaper claims that during this period, the per capita national income of Iranians has also decreased by more than 36%, and the gap between non-poor and the poverty line has also narrowed significantly. Saba Alaleh, a social activist, stated: "The development of poverty is the reason for the increase in child labor in Iran." Experts described the 15% statistic of child laborers in Iran as "minimal." Statistics speak for themselves; nearly 60% of the Iranian population lives under the shadow of poverty. Unveiling another aspect of poverty; the dollar sale of body parts.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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