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An Economist: The Poor Have Become Poorer, and the Bottom Three Deciles Are in Dire Conditions

Feb 6, 2026 February 6, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

Economist Morteza Afqeh reveals that over half of Iran's population lives in poverty, with three income deciles in absolute poverty. He attributes this to severe inflation and poor government policies, warning that structural reforms are necessary for economic improvement.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Iran faces severe economic challenges with over half its population in poverty, driven by inflation and ineffective policies.

👥 Key Players

Morteza Afqeh MENTIONED
Economist
"Afqeh is a prominent economist whose analysis provides insight into Iran's economic challenges, particularly regarding poverty and inflation."
Ebrahim Raisi MENTIONED
President of Iran
"Raisi's government is responsible for economic policies and is under scrutiny for its handling of inflation and poverty."

📰 What Happened

Economist Morteza Afqeh reported that over half of Iran's population is living in poverty, with severe inflation exacerbating the situation. He criticized government policies and foreign sanctions for damaging the economy.

  • Over 50% of Iran's population is considered poor.
  • Three income deciles are in absolute poverty due to high inflation.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: The report highlights the dire economic conditions affecting a large portion of the Iranian population, pressuring the government to address these issues.
🌍 Regional: Iran's economic instability can affect regional trade and political dynamics, potentially leading to increased migration or unrest.
🌐 International: International stakeholders are concerned about Iran's economic stability due to its impact on global oil markets and regional security.

📚 Background

Iran has been grappling with economic challenges due to a combination of domestic policies and international sanctions, particularly affecting its oil exports.

Iranian inflation Economic sanctions on Iran
📡 Source: NEUTRAL
📊 Confidence: 70%
Didban Iran is a local news outlet that provides insights into domestic issues, though its perspective may reflect local biases.

Morteza Afqeh, an economist, stated in an interview with Didban Iran that new studies show six income deciles in Iran are experiencing poverty, with more than half of the population considered poor. He also mentioned that three of these six deciles are in absolute poverty. Afqeh emphasized that the share of food and housing costs in the Iranian household budget is not similar to that of developing and developed countries, stating that severe inflation in Iran has made it difficult for many people to even cover their basic expenses. He noted that this has led to a severe class collapse, putting pressure on the middle and lower classes. Afqeh also asserted that there is no prospect for reducing inflation in Iran. He stated that the government's wrong policies and foreign sanctions have severely damaged Iran's economic foundations. He indicated that even if sanctions are lifted, high inflation will continue in Iran. He said that the only real solution for improving Iran's economic situation is structural reforms in the economy. The ILNA news agency reported on September 7 that the minimum livelihood basket, including housing costs in Tehran, amounts to over 23 million tomans, and in industrial metropolises like Mashhad, Isfahan, and Tabriz, it ranges between 20 to 22 million tomans. This is while the government of Ebrahim Raisi claims to have reduced inflation and improved economic indicators. The spokesperson for the thirteenth government claimed on Thursday, July 27, that Ebrahim Raisi 'does not sleep at night' due to rising prices.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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