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Economists' Predictions for 2024: Economic Recession in Germany Will Continue

Feb 5, 2026 February 5, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

Economists predict that Germany will remain in economic recession throughout 2024, with growth expected to drop to 0.2%. This situation is exacerbated by the impact of the war in Ukraine and rising energy prices. The implications of this economic downturn are significant for the Eurozone and global markets.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Germany's continued recession poses significant risks for the Eurozone and global economic stability.

👥 Key Players

Robert Habeck MENTIONED
Minister of Economy, Germany
"As the economic leader, Habeck's statements reflect the government's stance on economic challenges and influence policy decisions."
Council of Economic Experts MENTIONED
Advisory body for the German government
"Their forecasts guide government economic policies and public expectations regarding economic performance."
European Central Bank MENTIONED
Central banking authority for the Eurozone
"Their interest rate policies directly impact economic conditions in Germany and the broader Eurozone."

📰 What Happened

Economists predict that Germany will remain in economic recession throughout 2024, with growth expected to drop to 0.2%. This downturn is attributed to rising energy prices and the effects of the war in Ukraine.

  • Germany's economic growth forecast has been revised down from 1.3% to 0.2%.
  • The economy shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2023.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: Germany's economic struggles may affect Iran's trade relations and economic partnerships, particularly in energy.
🌍 Regional: Economic instability in Germany could lead to broader economic challenges in the Eurozone, affecting regional trade dynamics.
🌐 International: A recession in Germany may have ripple effects on global markets, impacting trade and investment flows internationally.

📚 Background

Germany's economy has been under pressure due to the war in Ukraine, which has disrupted energy supplies and increased costs.

Impact of the Ukraine war on European economies Energy market fluctuations and their global implications
📡 Source: NEUTRAL
📊 Confidence: 70%
The article presents forecasts from economic experts and government officials, suggesting a balanced view of the economic situation.

Calculations and predictions by economists and economic experts in Germany indicate that the country will not exit the cycle of economic recession this year. This forecast comes as Germany has surpassed Japan to become the third-largest economy in the world. The Council of Economic Experts in Germany assumes that the outlook for the country's economy will not be bright this year. In this context, the German government was set to present its annual economic report and latest economic forecasts for 2024 on Wednesday, February 21. Meanwhile, reports from German media indicate a reduction in economic growth to 0.2 percent. The government had previously expected this figure to rise to 1.3 percent in its autumn forecasts. Robert Habeck, Germany's Minister of Economy, stated earlier this month that the country's economy, the largest in Europe and traditionally a growth driver for the Eurozone, is under the influence of a perfect storm. According to him, the situation is 'significantly bad.' The severing of gas relations with Russia and rising energy prices due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, along with the trend of increasing interest rates by the European Central Bank to curb inflation, have led to a decline in demand and investment in Germany. The Federal Statistical Office of Germany announced in late June that the country's economy shrank by 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2023 compared to the previous quarter.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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