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Experts: Expect a Sharp Increase in Housing Prices in 1403

Feb 4, 2026 February 4, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

Experts predict a significant rise in housing prices in Iran for the year 1403 due to ineffective government policies and ongoing economic challenges. Farshid Pourhajjat highlights the halt in construction and uncertainty among builders, while protests against housing prices reflect widespread discontent among the population. This situation underscores the critical housing crisis affecting many Iranians, particularly those below the poverty line.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: The housing crisis in Iran is worsening, with predictions of significant price increases that could lead to greater social unrest.

👥 Key Players

Farshid Pourhajjat MENTIONED
Member of the National Association of Builders
"He provides insights into the housing market and government policies affecting construction and housing prices."
Iranian Government MENTIONED
Policy maker
"Their policies directly impact the housing market and economic conditions for citizens."
Housing Construction Workers MENTIONED
Builders and construction workers
"They are directly affected by the housing market conditions and government policies, impacting employment and livelihoods."

📰 What Happened

Experts predict a sharp increase in housing prices in Iran for the year 1403 due to ineffective government policies and ongoing economic challenges. The current state of the housing market shows halted construction and rising prices, leading to protests among citizens.

  • Housing inflation in Tehran exceeds 55 million tomans on average.
  • Protests have erupted in multiple cities over the rising housing costs and government failures.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: The predicted rise in housing prices exacerbates the housing crisis, particularly affecting low-income families and increasing public discontent.
🌍 Regional: Economic instability in Iran can have ripple effects on neighboring countries, particularly in terms of migration and regional stability.
🌐 International: International observers may view this as a sign of the Iranian government's inability to manage economic challenges, potentially affecting diplomatic relations.

📚 Background

Iran has been facing economic difficulties, including high inflation and currency devaluation, which have severely impacted the housing market and affordability for citizens.

Iranian economic policies Housing market trends in Iran
📡 Source: NEUTRAL
📊 Confidence: 70%
The information comes from a member of the National Association of Builders and media sources, indicating a focus on economic analysis rather than political bias.

A member of the National Association of Builders has predicted a significant increase in housing prices next year, citing the current state of the housing market and government policies. According to Farshid Pourhajjat, the 'pieces of the puzzle' indicate an unfavorable future for the housing market, stating, 'The government has not taken actions in 1402 that would inspire hope for a good future for housing in 1403.' This housing expert pointed out that the government's contractionary policies this year have failed to prevent rising housing prices, and it appears that conditions next year will surpass the government's planning. Pourhajjat also emphasized in a conversation with ILNA on Esfand 11 that due to severe price fluctuations, many housing construction workshops have been halted, and even builders of the National Housing Movement and the Housing Production Leap projects are left in uncertainty and confusion. On the other hand, home sellers are unwilling to sell, claiming that price discovery has not occurred following changes in the dollar price. He noted that the most significant price increases were related to construction materials linked to the steel sector, with one item experiencing a price increase of up to 90% alongside the rise in the dollar price. Other housing experts believe that given the current market trends and the budget the government has allocated for 1403, housing prices will rise next year. According to statistics published by this center in Tehran, housing inflation is nearly equivalent to the national average, with the average housing price in the capital exceeding 55 million tomans. The highest inflation in the housing sector has been reported in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari province at around 62%. Protests have occurred in Qom against the uncertainty surrounding the pricing of homes known as national housing for Iranians living below the absolute poverty line; the Vice President stated that wage growth should align with the country's economic conditions. Protests continue in various cities, with at least four cities hosting professional gatherings. A government-supporting media outlet admitted that the promise of building one million homes annually has not been fulfilled. Prices have risen again, with a 2% increase in housing inflation in Dey. A new layer of renting in Iran has emerged, with costs reaching up to 30 million tomans for living in a basement. Loans have not led to home ownership; purchasing 8.5 meters of a house with a 960 million toman housing loan.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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