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If the Iranian Clerical Regime Does Not Fall, Bush and Blair Will Be Ashamed - 2003-06-12

May 22, 2026 May 22, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

Michael Ledeen argues that the Iranian regime's survival would lead to embarrassment for Bush and Blair, drawing parallels with the Soviet Union's fears. He emphasizes the strength of the Iranian democratic movement and warns of the regime's violent repression against demonstrators. The article highlights the geopolitical stakes in Iraq, linking the fate of the Iranian regime to broader international efforts against terrorism.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: The Iranian clerical regime's fate is intertwined with broader geopolitical dynamics.

👥 Key Players

Michael Ledeen QUOTED
Commentator
"Michael Ledeen, Wall Street Journal, June 11, 2003."
Ali Khamenei (علی خامنه‌ای) ACCUSED
Supreme Leader of Iran
"The Islamic regime knows what a formidable force is seeking its destruction."
George Bush TARGET
Former President of the United States
"If Iran can drive the coalition out of Iraq, George Bush and Tony Blair will know the meaning of defeat and humiliation."
Tony Blair TARGET
Former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
"If Iran can drive the coalition out of Iraq, George Bush and Tony Blair will know the meaning of defeat and humiliation."
Hezbollah BENEFICIARY
Terrorist organization
"Hezbollah is a creation of Iran."
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (سپاه پاسداران انقلاب اسلامی) ACTOR
Military force of Iran
"The Revolutionary Guards have a foreign legion that has sent its Muslim missionaries as far as North Africa and South America."

⚡ Actions

Iranian regime ANNOUNCE demonstrators
"The Islamic regime knows what a formidable force is seeking its destruction and has recently issued a special order to use lethal force against demonstrators."
Confidence: 90%
Iran SUPPORT Hezbollah
"All experts agree that Iran is the main supporter of terrorism. Hezbollah is a creation of Iran."
Confidence: 90%
Iran DRIVE OUT coalition forces in Iraq
"If Iran can drive the coalition out of Iraq, George Bush and Tony Blair will know the meaning of defeat and humiliation."
Confidence: 80%

📰 What Happened

Iranian clerics fear anti-authoritarian movement; lethal force ordered against demonstrators.

  • Iranian regime announce demonstrators
  • Iran support Hezbollah
  • Iran drive out coalition forces in Iraq

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: Because the clerical regime's survival is threatened by a growing democratic movement.
🌍 Regional: Because Iran's actions impact regional stability and terrorism.
🌐 International: Because the West's response to Iran's regime could influence global anti-terrorism efforts.

📚 Background

The Iranian clerical regime's fate is intertwined with broader geopolitical dynamics.

📝 Key Evidence

"The Islamic regime knows what a formidable force is seeking its destruction."
→ This shows the regime's awareness of the anti-authoritarian movement.
📡 Source: OPPOSITION
📊 Confidence: 70%
The source is critical of the Iranian regime and may reflect opposition views.

If the Iranian clerical regime does not fall, Bush and Blair will be ashamed - June 12, 2003. Michael Ledeen, Wall Street Journal, June 11, 2003. The same fears that gripped the leaders of the former Soviet Union, the fear of being besieged among hostile countries, have also seized the clerics in Iran. For an outside observer, accurately assessing the capabilities of an anti-authoritarian movement in another country has always been difficult. However, today, there are far stronger reasons to have a positive assessment of the democratic movement in Iran than there were to defend the democratic movement in the Soviet Union; unless the lust for oil money blinds the West to defend the Iranian people's opposition to the Islamic regime. Those who have taken to the streets of Iran over the past two years are led by 'students'; but do not think these students are like the youth of Paris or Northern California in the sixties. Some of these students are over thirty or forty years old, and years of struggle in the streets, prisons, and torture have hardened them. The Islamic regime knows what a formidable force is seeking its destruction and has recently issued a special order to use lethal force against demonstrators preparing to commemorate the 18th of Tir. Among the repressive measures is an order banning interviews with foreign Persian-language media, except for the BBC, Radio Moscow, and Radio France International. All experts agree that Iran is the main supporter of terrorism. Hezbollah is a creation of Iran, and the Revolutionary Guards have a foreign legion that has sent its Muslim missionaries as far as North Africa and South America. Iraq's support for terrorism in counter to Iran's activities is of no account. Currently, three governments are at war for their survival in Iraq: Iran, the United States, and Britain. If Iran can drive the coalition out of Iraq, George Bush and Tony Blair will know the meaning of defeat and humiliation, and we will have lost one of the major battles against terrorism. But if we defeat the clerics and freedom prevails in Iraq, Iran, and Afghanistan, we will change the world, and the terrorists will be finished.

🌐

Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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