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Interior Minister: Iran's Population Will Fall Below 40 Million by 1480

Jan 23, 2026 January 23, 2026 1 min read 📰 Iran International (Farsi)
📋 Key Takeaway

Iran's Interior Minister warns that the country's population is on track to fall below 40 million by 1480, which he describes as a major disaster. He emphasizes the need for collaboration between the Civil Registration Organization and academic institutions to address this crisis.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Iran faces a potential demographic crisis that could have far-reaching implications for its future.

👥 Key Players

Eskandar Momeni MENTIONED
Interior Minister of Iran
"As a high-ranking government official, he plays a crucial role in shaping domestic policies and addressing national issues, including population concerns."
Civil Registration Organization MENTIONED
Government agency responsible for population data and statistics
"This organization is key to understanding demographic trends and implementing policies to manage population changes."

📰 What Happened

Iran's Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni warned that the country's population is projected to fall below 40 million by the year 1480, which he described as a significant crisis. He called for collaboration between government and academic institutions to address this issue.

  • The current population of Iran is approximately 85 million.
  • A population decline to below 40 million would represent a significant demographic shift and potential economic challenges.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: A declining population could lead to labor shortages, economic decline, and increased pressure on social services, impacting Iran's long-term stability.
🌍 Regional: Population changes in Iran could affect regional dynamics, including migration patterns and economic relations with neighboring countries.
🌐 International: Internationally, a shrinking population may alter Iran's role in global affairs, including its economic partnerships and security considerations.

📚 Background

Iran has been experiencing declining birth rates and an aging population, which pose challenges for its economy and social structure. Understanding these trends is crucial for grasping the country's future trajectory.

Demographic transition Economic policy in Iran
📡 Source: STATE MEDIA
📊 Confidence: 70%
As a statement from a government official, this information may reflect the government's perspective and priorities, and should be considered within the broader context of Iranian policy discussions.

Eskandar Momeni, the Interior Minister, stated: "The declining population trend in Iran will become one of the biggest crises." He added: "With the current trend and rate of decrease, by the year 1480, the country's population will drop below 40 million, which means a major disaster and the greatest danger threatening a country." He continued: "The Civil Registration Organization must collaborate with academic centers to provide accurate analysis and information so that finding solutions to manage this very significant crisis is prioritized."

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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