IAEA data compiled by BloombergArticle content(Bloomberg) — The risk that Iran is covertly pursuing nuclear weapons is higher today than before the US and Israel launched their first military attacks on the Islamic Republic a year ago, according to western officials who cited new data circulated by the United Nations atomic watchdog.
Sign In or Create an AccountEmail AddressContinueor View more offersArticle contentThe International Atomic Energy Agency has warned member countries about new nuclear proliferation dangers posed by Iran’s large inventory of near-bomb-grade uranium, according to a restricted document seen by Bloomberg. Before the June 2025 air assault that began a 12-day-war, that material was subject to weekly IAEA inspection to ensure it wasn’t diverted for weapons. That’s no longer the case.
Article contentWe apologize, but this video has failed to load.Try refreshing your browser, or tap here to see other videos from our team.Article contentArticle contentThe IAEA’s report underscores how the US-Israeli war on Iran has created new nuclear dilemmas that didn’t previously exist, according to two senior diplomats familiar with the report, who asked not to be identified discussing sensitive data. The longer the material remains outside of IAEA safeguards, the higher the risks grow that the material could be diverted for non-peaceful uses, they said.
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Article contentNow, the agency “can’t draw any conclusion regarding this nuclear material,” reads the 119-page restricted document circulated last month in Vienna. “This gives rise to a proliferation concern as this nuclear material, which the agency was not able to verify, includes a large amount of high- enriched uranium.”
Article contentEliminating Iran’s nuclear ambitions has been one of President Donald Trump’s key war objectives, and the IAEA report landed as markets whipsawed over faltering efforts to reach a deal. The warning underscored that even if an extended ceasefire takes hold, the path to a lasting nuclear accord remains long, fraught and vulnerable to breakdown — tempering hopes that diplomacy will quickly stabilize energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Article contentArticle contentInspections plummeted by more than half last year after Iran imposed new restrictions following the 12-day war. Monitors have yet to return to damaged sites in Fordow, Isfahan and Natanz, where Iran’s 440.9 kilograms (972 pounds) and 8,599.6 kilograms of lower enriched material was last seen.
Article contentWhile the White House maintains Iran’s nuclear program has been obliterated, it’s sought to negotiate access to the uranium. Trump has alternately suggested the material could be exported from Iran or domestically rendered inert under IAEA supervision.
Article content“Iran’s nuclear facilities were obliterated during Operation Midnight Hammer, and the conventional shield intended to protect their nuclear program – comprised of their ballistic missiles, production facilities, and navy – is gone,” White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly said in a statement, adding it was “stupid” to suggest Iran “can more capably produce a nuclear weapon with no functioning nuclear enrichment facilities or military defenses.”
Article contentBut officials have grown concerned the US administration’s failure to involve the IAEA in the most recent rounds of talks may create new risks and raise unrealistic expectations.
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