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Israel or Hezbollah; The Real Winner of War and Peace According to Experts

Jul 20, 2026 July 20, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

Experts analyzed the recent ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, with differing views on who emerged victorious. While Ben Sabti claims Israel is the clear winner, Alim Saleh argues that all parties are winners of the ceasefire, though Israel is the ultimate loser. This situation is significant as it may influence future conflicts, particularly in Gaza.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: The ceasefire indicates a significant shift in the balance of power in the region.

👥 Key Players

Ben Sabti QUOTED
Expert on Iranian and Israeli issues
"Israel was both the victor on the battlefield and the winner of the current ceasefire."
Alim Saleh QUOTED
Assistant Professor
"With this ceasefire, Hezbollah has the opportunity to rebuild itself."
Hezbollah TARGET
Militant group
"Israel, after inflicting severe blows to Hezbollah."
Islamic Republic (جمهوری اسلامی) TARGET
Government of Iran
"demonstrated that Tehran's proxy forces lack the necessary efficiency."
Hamas TARGET
Militant group
"Hezbollah declared that its goal in the conflict with Israel was to support and back this Palestinian group."

⚡ Actions

Israel ATTACK Hezbollah, Islamic Republic
"Israel, after inflicting severe blows to Hezbollah and the Islamic Republic, shattered the hollow prestige of this group."
Confidence: 90%
Israel and Hezbollah NEGOTIATE Lebanese army
"Israel confirmed the ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah on Tuesday, December 6."
Confidence: 90%
Israel and Hezbollah WITHDRAW Lebanese army
"According to the ceasefire agreement, Israeli ground forces are to gradually withdraw from southern Lebanon."
Confidence: 90%

📰 What Happened

Experts debate the outcomes of the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, highlighting Iran's weakened position.

  • Israel attack Hezbollah, Islamic Republic
  • Israel and Hezbollah negotiate Lebanese army
  • Israel and Hezbollah withdraw Lebanese army

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: Because the ceasefire reveals the limitations of Iran's influence through proxy groups.
🌍 Regional: Because it may lead to a broader peace process in the region, especially concerning Gaza.
🌐 International: Because it highlights the ongoing tensions and the role of Iran in regional conflicts.

📚 Background

The ceasefire indicates a significant shift in the balance of power in the region.

📝 Key Evidence

"Israel was both the victor on the battlefield and the winner of the current ceasefire."
→ Israel's military success and strategic advantage.
"With this ceasefire, Hezbollah has the opportunity to rebuild itself."
→ Hezbollah's potential recovery and future capabilities.
📡 Source: STATE MEDIA
📊 Confidence: 80%
VOA Persian is a U.S. government-funded outlet, which may influence its portrayal of events.

On Wednesday, December 7, experts Alim Saleh and Ben Sabti appeared on Voice of America's evening analysis program to examine various aspects of the ceasefire in Lebanon and the winner of this peace and war between Israel and Hezbollah. Ben Sabti, an expert on Iranian and Israeli issues, told Voice of America: "Israel was both the victor on the battlefield and the winner of the current ceasefire." He elaborated on his opinion: "Israel, after inflicting severe blows to Hezbollah and the Islamic Republic, shattered the hollow prestige of this group and demonstrated that Tehran's proxy forces lack the necessary efficiency and capability to defend the Islamic Republic." The Iranian and Israeli affairs expert noted: "With Hezbollah's defeat, Western and Arab countries also realized that all of the Islamic Republic's proxy groups are empty but noisy, and the Islamic Republic's hand was empty at the crucial moment of confrontation with Israel, despite forty years of investment in these groups." Alim Saleh, an assistant professor at an Australian university, considered all parties to be winners of the current ceasefire in Lebanon and stated that "the year-long war between Israel and Hezbollah and Hamas had no winners, but Israel was definitely the loser of this ceasefire." He expressed satisfaction with the cessation of war and bloodshed in Lebanon, adding: "With this ceasefire, Hezbollah has the opportunity to rebuild itself, but Israel, despite the enormous costs of war over the past year and the loss of international and domestic credibility, will not have much capacity for recovery." Both guests agreed that the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon could be a precursor to ending the war in Gaza, provided that Hamas decides to release the 101 hostages it has taken. Israel confirmed the ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah on Tuesday, December 6. According to the ceasefire agreement, Israeli ground forces are to gradually withdraw from southern Lebanon and hand over their positions to the Lebanese army. Hezbollah has also committed to withdrawing its forces from southern Lebanon and retreating about 19 kilometers from the Israeli border. The war between Israel and Hezbollah began on October 8, 2023, after Hamas attacked Israel, killing 1,200 people, mostly civilians. Hezbollah declared that its goal in the conflict with Israel was to support and back this Palestinian group.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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