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Latest Polls on Israeli Elections: Netanyahu Set to Become Prime Minister Again

Jan 24, 2026 January 24, 2026 4 min read 📰 Radio Farda
📋 Key Takeaway

Benjamin Netanyahu is likely to remain Prime Minister of Israel despite ongoing corruption investigations as recent polls show a strong right-wing coalition. The elections are set for April 9, and Netanyahu's party is expected to secure enough seats to form a government. This situation raises concerns about the implications for governance and accountability in Israel.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Netanyahu's likely return to power raises concerns about governance, accountability, and regional stability.

👥 Key Players

Benjamin Netanyahu MENTIONED
Prime Minister of Israel and leader of the Likud party
"Netanyahu's leadership and policies have significant implications for Israeli domestic and foreign policy, including relations with Iran."
Benny Gantz MENTIONED
Leader of the Blue and White coalition
"As a key opposition figure, Gantz represents an alternative approach to governance and security in Israel, which could affect regional dynamics."
Yair Lapid MENTIONED
Co-leader of the Blue and White coalition
"Lapid's stance on security and governance contrasts with Netanyahu's, influencing public sentiment and potential policy shifts."
Avichai Mandelblit MENTIONED
Attorney General of Israel
"Mandelblit's decisions regarding Netanyahu's legal challenges could impact the political landscape and accountability in Israel."

📰 What Happened

Recent polls indicate that Benjamin Netanyahu is likely to remain Prime Minister of Israel despite ongoing corruption investigations. The right-wing coalition appears to have enough support to secure a majority in the upcoming elections.

  • Netanyahu's Likud party is projected to secure 26-28 seats in the Knesset.
  • Corruption investigations against Netanyahu are ongoing, with calls for legal accountability.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: Netanyahu's potential re-election could lead to continued hardline policies against Iran, affecting Tehran's regional strategy.
🌍 Regional: A right-wing government in Israel may escalate tensions with neighboring countries, particularly in relation to security and military actions.
🌐 International: Western nations are closely monitoring Israel's political developments, as they impact diplomatic relations and security alliances in the region.

📚 Background

Israel has been experiencing political turbulence with multiple elections in recent years, and Netanyahu's leadership has been marked by controversy and legal challenges.

Israeli-Palestinian conflict Iran-Israel relations
📡 Source: NEUTRAL
📊 Confidence: 70%
The article presents a factual overview of the political situation without overt bias, but readers should consider multiple sources for a comprehensive understanding.

While the Israeli State Comptroller has requested the Attorney General to investigate a new case against Benjamin Netanyahu, Prime Minister and leader of the ruling Likud party, for potential corruption, the latest pre-election polls indicate that due to the right-wing coalition maintaining a majority, Netanyahu's chances of remaining in office are high. According to election law, further polling is prohibited until the elections on Tuesday, April 9. The latest poll from Israel's Channel 12, published on Friday, April 7, shows the Blue and White coalition led by Benny Gantz winning 30 seats and Likud securing 26 seats. The Jerusalem Post poll predicts 28 seats for the Blue and White coalition and 27 for Likud. However, since the right-wing and religious parties collectively secure at least 63 of the 120 Knesset seats in all polls, Netanyahu's chances of forming the next government are greater than Gantz's. Electoral lists that can secure seats in the Knesset will recommend to the President of the country after the elections to assign the task of forming a government to either Netanyahu or Gantz. The President must appoint a politician who has the support of a majority of representatives. Meanwhile, according to the Times of Israel, Yair Lapid, one of the two leaders of the Blue and White coalition, stated on Friday that if the seat gap between his coalition and Likud is 4 seats or more, 'no power can take away the chance of forming a government from his coalition.' Benny Gantz also mentioned among his supporters on Friday, 'On election day, we have a historical obligation and opportunity to change everything we have witnessed in this country and to have a government that serves the people, not one that serves an individual (Netanyahu).' In response to the latest polls, Netanyahu said on Friday, 'Our right-wing government is in danger; Gantz and Lapid have pulled ahead by 4-5 seats; if our supporters do not collectively go to the polls, Gantz and Lapid's leftist government is on the way.' With four days left until the elections, according to Channel 12, the State Comptroller has asked the Attorney General to investigate the newly disclosed multimillion-dollar shares of Benjamin Netanyahu in a new case. Netanyahu confirmed last month that he purchased shares in a company somehow related to the German industrial conglomerate ThyssenKrupp and later sold them for 16 million shekels (about 4.5 million dollars). Netanyahu emphasized that he made a completely legal transaction based on his 'economic sense.' The names of several wealthy relatives of Netanyahu, such as cousins and nephews, are also mentioned in this matter. However, given that ThyssenKrupp is the manufacturer of submarines that were supposed to be delivered to the Israeli army in a deal, but later Netanyahu secretly agreed to deliver the submarines to Egypt without informing other senior officials, Benny Gantz and the Blue and White coalition have claimed that Netanyahu has likely 'played with the security of the country, which is the most sacred issue for Israel' in this military deal. According to German media reports, institutions in that country will also re-examine the ThyssenKrupp case. Netanyahu's multimillion-dollar income from his stock trading comes while three other cases against him remain open with the Israeli Attorney General. Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit has stated that he will resume the three cases for which Netanyahu was interrogated for nearly three years about four months after the elections. Israeli media report that Netanyahu's supporters are seeking to pass a law after forming the next government and Knesset to prohibit any investigation and trial against Netanyahu for as long as he remains Prime Minister. Netanyahu has stated in recent interviews with local media that he has 'no connection' to efforts to pass such a law.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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