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Ministry of Economy: Iran Will Have at Least $51 Billion in Oil Revenue Next Year

Jan 26, 2026 January 26, 2026 2 min read 📰 Radio Farda
📋 Key Takeaway

Iran's Ministry of Economy forecasts at least $51 billion in oil revenues for the next solar year, assuming daily exports of 2.6 million barrels. This projection is crucial for budgeting and economic planning amid ongoing sanctions and economic challenges. The report highlights the importance of oil revenues for Iran's economy.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Iran's projected oil revenues are essential for its economic planning and stability amid ongoing sanctions.

👥 Key Players

Iranian Ministry of Economy MENTIONED
Government body responsible for economic policy
"They play a crucial role in shaping Iran's economic strategy and managing oil revenues, which are vital for the country's economy."
International Energy Agency (IEA) MENTIONED
International organization providing energy data and analysis
"Their assessments influence global oil market expectations and can affect Iran's oil pricing and export strategies."

📰 What Happened

Iran's Ministry of Economy announced a forecast of at least $51 billion in oil and gas condensate revenues for the upcoming solar year, based on expected daily exports of 2.6 million barrels. This projection is significant for Iran's economic planning amid ongoing sanctions.

  • Iran's oil export revenues are projected to be between $51 billion and $55 billion.
  • The report assumes an average oil price of $54 to $58 per barrel.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: This forecast is crucial for Iran's budget planning and economic stability, especially under sanctions that limit its oil exports.
🌍 Regional: The stability of Iran's economy can impact regional dynamics, including relations with neighboring countries and groups.
🌐 International: The forecast may influence global oil prices and the geopolitical landscape, particularly for countries involved in sanctions against Iran.

📚 Background

Iran's economy is heavily dependent on oil exports, which have been affected by international sanctions. Understanding the oil market is key to grasping Iran's economic challenges.

Iran's oil sanctions Global oil market dynamics
📡 Source: STATE MEDIA
📊 Confidence: 70%
The report comes from a government source, which may present an optimistic view of economic forecasts.

Iran's Ministry of Economy announced in a report that the country will have at least $51 billion in oil and gas condensate export revenues in the upcoming solar year. The report, published on the official website of the Iranian Ministry of Economic Affairs and Finance, adds that assuming an average daily export of 2.6 million barrels of crude oil and gas condensates, the total average export revenues for Iran next year will be at least $51 billion and at most $55 billion. The report considers the average price of Iranian oil next year to be between $54 and $58. Last year, the price of Iranian oil was slightly over $52. Previously, Radio Farda had estimated the oil and gas condensate export revenues for the last year to be around $50 billion, which, along with revenues from petroleum products and liquefied gases, reached $57 to $58 billion. The Ministry of Economy's report also refers to the budget for the upcoming solar year, stating: "Considering the share allocated for the government from oil revenues in the budget for the year 97, at 53.5%, and taking into account the average currency exchange rate of 36,000 rials, it is predicted that the resources considered will be at least 982,260 billion rials (97% of the budget proposal) and at most 1,059,300 billion rials (105% of the budget proposal)." The report continues that in the current year's budget, the price of each barrel of oil is set at $55. According to assessments by the International Energy Agency and the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the price of Brent oil this year is considered to be around $60. The average value of Iranian oil and gas condensates is slightly less than Brent oil, but the price of $55 seems reasonable. The report anticipates that Iran will export 2.6 million barrels of crude oil and gas condensates daily next year, which is nearly equal to Iran's exports this year. Gas condensates are a type of ultra-light and expensive crude oil produced from gas fields. Iran produces 608,000 barrels of gas condensates daily, of which 450,000 barrels are exported. Iran's daily oil production is also 3 million and 851 thousand barrels.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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