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Rejection of Government's Inflation Statistics; Point Inflation Exceeds 68 Percent

Feb 7, 2026 February 7, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

The article discusses the discrepancy between government-reported inflation rates and those reported by ECO Iran, which claims inflation is nearing 70%. Former Central Bank head Hemmati criticizes the government for its inconsistent statistics and unfulfilled promises regarding inflation control. This situation highlights the ongoing economic challenges and public dissatisfaction in Iran.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: Iran faces significant inflation challenges, with discrepancies in reported data highlighting potential government manipulation and public dissatisfaction.

👥 Key Players

ECO Iran MENTIONED
Economic website
"ECO Iran provides alternative economic data and analysis, challenging official government statistics."
Statistical Center of Iran MENTIONED
Government agency
"Responsible for providing official economic data, including inflation rates."
Central Bank of Iran MENTIONED
Iran's central banking authority
"Plays a key role in monetary policy and economic data reporting."
Abdolnaser Hemmati MENTIONED
Former head of the Central Bank
"Critic of current economic policies, providing an insider perspective on discrepancies in government data."
Ebrahim Raisi MENTIONED
President of Iran
"Promised to reduce inflation during his election campaign, making him accountable for current economic conditions."
Ali Khamenei MENTIONED
Supreme Leader of Iran
"Sets national priorities, including economic goals like controlling inflation."

📰 What Happened

There is a significant discrepancy between the inflation rates reported by the Iranian government and those reported by ECO Iran, with the latter suggesting much higher inflation. Former Central Bank head Hemmati criticized the government for failing to meet its inflation reduction promises.

  • ECO Iran reports point inflation at 68.7% for Farvardin 1402.
  • Government sources report lower inflation rates between 45% and 55%.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: High inflation affects the cost of living and economic stability, leading to public dissatisfaction and potential unrest.
🌍 Regional: Economic instability in Iran can have ripple effects on neighboring countries and regional trade.
🌐 International: Iran's economic conditions can influence global oil prices and international relations, especially with Western countries.

📚 Background

Iran has been grappling with high inflation for years, exacerbated by sanctions and economic mismanagement. The government's credibility is at stake as it struggles to meet economic promises.

Iranian economic policy Impact of sanctions on Iran
📡 Source: OPPOSITION
📊 Confidence: 70%
ECO Iran may present data that challenges official narratives, reflecting opposition perspectives.

While the Statistical Center of Iran and the Central Bank have reported inflation rates around 45 to 55 percent, the economic website 'ECO Iran' stated that the point inflation for Farvardin (the first month of the Iranian calendar) this year is nearing 70 percent. ECO Iran had previously reported, citing an informed source, that 'the monthly inflation in Farvardin 1402 is 5.2 percent, which indicates that the point inflation for the first month of 1402 is exactly 68.7 percent, very close to reaching 70 percent.' However, the government's information website denied ECO Iran's report, claiming that based on the Statistical Center's data, the point inflation is 55.5 percent. According to this economic website, comparing the index recorded in the first month of this year with the same period last year shows that the general price level has increased by approximately 68.6 percent. Abdolnaser Hemmati, former head of the Central Bank, reacted to these discrepancies in the statistics provided by the government in a tweet: 'Mr. President! According to the table published from the Central Bank's price index, the inflation for Farvardin 1402 has reached 69%! Please explain to the people with what information and analysis you confidently promised to halve and then bring inflation down to single digits during the 1400 elections? What actions have you taken to fulfill this promise?' On Farvardin 16 of this year, Ebrahim Raisi stated that the inflation rate remains above 40 percent due to reasons such as the 'removal of preferential currency,' saying: 'We will vigorously pursue the wise slogan of 1402 regarding controlling inflation and increasing production.' Ali Khamenei, the leader of the Islamic Republic, named this year the year of 'controlling inflation and increasing production,' but according to statistics, the Iranian people are experiencing the highest level of inflation since World War II at the beginning of this year. Siamak Javadi: The only solution for the Islamic Republic to control inflation has been 'statistical manipulation.' Concerns in the parliament about the government's manipulation of inflation rates in Iran.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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