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The Far-Right Party 'National Rally' in France Likely to Fail in Securing Absolute Parliamentary Majority

Feb 3, 2026 February 3, 2026 2 min read 📰 VOA Persian
📋 Key Takeaway

A recent poll suggests that the far-right National Rally party in France, led by Marine Le Pen, is unlikely to secure an absolute majority in the upcoming parliamentary elections. Various left and right parties have united to prevent this outcome by withdrawing candidates to avoid vote-splitting. This situation is significant as it reflects the political dynamics in France and the challenges faced by far-right movements.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: The potential failure of the National Rally to secure a majority reflects the resilience of mainstream political coalitions in France.

👥 Key Players

Marine Le Pen MENTIONED
Leader of the National Rally party
"Le Pen is a prominent figure in French politics, representing the far-right and influencing discussions on immigration and national identity."
Emmanuel Macron MENTIONED
President of France
"Macron's leadership and policies significantly shape the political landscape in France, including responses to far-right movements."
Renaissance party MENTIONED
Macron's political party
"As the ruling party, it plays a crucial role in countering the rise of far-right parties like National Rally."
Left-wing parties MENTIONED
Coalition of various leftist political groups
"Their collaboration is essential in opposing the far-right and shaping France's social policies."

📰 What Happened

Polls indicate that the far-right National Rally party, led by Marine Le Pen, is unlikely to secure an absolute majority in the upcoming parliamentary elections. Various parties have united to prevent this outcome by withdrawing candidates to avoid splitting the vote.

  • National Rally is projected to win between 205 to 240 seats but not achieve the 289 needed for a majority.
  • The political landscape has shifted as parties collaborate to counter the rise of the far-right.

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: The political stability in France affects Iran's diplomatic relations with Europe, especially regarding issues like sanctions and nuclear negotiations.
🌍 Regional: A strong far-right presence in Europe could embolden similar movements in the Middle East, affecting regional politics.
🌐 International: The outcome of the elections could influence EU policies on immigration and security, which are critical for international relations.

📚 Background

France has seen a rise in far-right sentiments, prompting traditional parties to unite against this trend. The political landscape is increasingly polarized.

Far-right movements in Europe Political coalitions and electoral strategies
📡 Source: NEUTRAL
📊 Confidence: 70%
The article relies on polling data and expert analysis, making it a credible source for understanding the political situation.

A recent poll indicates that the efforts of left-wing and right-wing parties in France to prevent the far-right party 'National Rally' from succeeding in the upcoming elections may be fruitful, as the party led by Marine Le Pen is unlikely to secure a majority of seats in the second round of parliamentary elections scheduled for Sunday, July 8. According to Reuters, the 'Opinion Way' institute published a poll on Friday, July 6, just two days before the parliamentary elections, showing that the far-right National Rally is expected to win between 205 to 230 seats in the parliamentary elections on Sunday. It is predicted that this party will not be able to obtain the 289 seats necessary for an absolute majority and the ability to pass laws and pursue its agenda. Earlier, the 'Ifop' company reported on Wednesday, July 5, that the National Rally would secure between 210 to 240 of the total 577 seats in the National Assembly of France. Estimates from 'Toluna-Harris Interactive' also pointed to this issue. The report states that after Emmanuel Macron, the President of France, dissolved the parliament about a month ago and the first round of elections was held, various parties were compelled to collaborate and set aside their differences in the face of the potential rise of the far-right National Rally. In this context, to counter this threat, the Renaissance party led by Emmanuel Macron and the new popular front, consisting of most left-wing parties, withdrew over 200 candidates from the second round of elections to prevent vote-splitting in favor of National Rally candidates. Recent poll results also indicate that this strategy has been effective for them. Reuters noted that the French stock market and government bonds have partially recovered from their losses as the likelihood of an absolute majority for Marine Le Pen's party has diminished.

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 85%

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