Clinton Passed the Last Curve of Health; Trump Did Not!

Hillary Clinton successfully navigated the last sharp turn on her path to securing the presidential nomination. However, Donald Trump faced a mild bump that could turn into a significant problem for him by the end of the race. The latest round of primary elections for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on Tuesday in five mainly populous states, and the final result made one person very happy: Hillary Clinton. Clinton's happiness does not stem from an extraordinary victory; rather, she is pleased because this time all predictions came true, and she was able to meet all expectations. Clinton won in four out of the five states where the decisive elections were held on Tuesday, and in the fifth state, she was leading at the time of writing. In other words, things could not have gone better for Clinton! On the other side, both Trump achieved a significant victory, and his opponents also made noteworthy gains. As a result, the situation for Republicans remains complicated. Now, neither Trump can confidently speak of his nomination nor can his opponents be sure they can stop him. Tuesday was so significant for the campaigns of both the Republican and Democratic parties that some media outlets dubbed it 'Super Tuesday II.' But what happened that left some ambiguities still intact at the end of the day? The End of Sanders? In the Democratic Party, on paper, everything is still possible! For this reason, a group of Sanders supporters, who have tied the life of his campaign to the formation of widespread advertising excitement, have not lost their momentum at all. However, perhaps this very issue – the prominent role of this extraordinary and different enthusiastic atmosphere – could act like a coup de grâce in today's situation and suffocate the breath of this campaign. The story goes that in Bernie Sanders' advertising strategy, special investment was made in the unexpected victory in Michigan. Gradually, Sanders fueled speculation in his advertising emails and speeches that this victory could be repeated in 'Super Tuesday II.' This narrative intertwined with polls from Ohio and Illinois and quickly became a public belief that Sanders indeed had a good chance of winning in these two important states. In the end, he not only lost in these states but also lost significantly in the key state of Florida, which will ultimately play a decisive role in the main election: Clinton garnered 65% of Florida's votes, while Sanders received 33%. The most important impact of this result will not be in the count of delegates but will be evident in the collective spirit and advertising atmosphere surrounding the campaigns. For a candidate who desperately needs to rev up the engine of his campaign to become a serious contender, a loss at this level not only slows down the engine but can also gradually lead to it overheating, potentially grounding Sanders' campaign within a few weeks. Sanders supporters, who are pinning their hopes on counting delegates in states like New York and California, may be shocked at the end of the elections in these states, as there is still a long time until the elections in these parts of the country; New York will vote in about a month, and California in two and a half months. Until that day, each of the rival's additional victories will be like an axe blow to the trunk of the electoral excitement of Sanders' campaign. A combination of these factors has made the likelihood of Hillary Clinton's nomination by the Democratic Party after Tuesday's results appear more pronounced than ever, and her tone and demeanor have increasingly become that of a definitive candidate rather than someone still engaged in an intra-party competition. If anyone else were in Trump's place, everyone would now be talking about the certainty of his nomination. However, Trump, due to being Trump and other reasons, still faces stubborn resistance from his rivals. This is while he harvested 'Super Tuesday' and only lost in Ohio. He lost that to the state's governor. However, he humiliatingly brought down the senator of the vital state of Florida in his own state and eliminated him from the competition. Marco Rubio did not just cry in his farewell speech. Otherwise, the sorrow in his tone and expression indicated how dissatisfied he was with such an outcome in the intra-party competition and how, with a broken heart, he lost everything to Trump. Nevertheless, some Republican leaders still believe they must stop Trump at all costs and are still plotting for this purpose. Based on their plans, Trump must continue to be anxious. In fact, Trump's loss in Ohio and the loss of 66 delegates from that state could be very significant in calculating his final victory. To become the Republican nominee without any doubt, Trump must secure 1,237 delegates. So far, he has obtained 621 delegates, which is significantly more than others. However, he still has a long way to go to reach the magical number of 1,237. He can only reach the necessary number (1+50% of the total delegates) if he secures 60% of the remaining delegates in the continuing competition. This is not impossible, but it is by no means easy. If Trump does not reach 1,237 delegates by the end, he will not be able to secure the nomination in the first round of voting from the delegates at the Republican National Convention on July 28, 2016. In the second round, many of these delegates will be released from their commitment to the people's votes and can vote for whoever they like. From this point on, intra-party deals will determine the final nominee, and there is a serious possibility that Republicans may set Trump aside at this stage; an action that could cost them the presidential election but save the identity and existence of the 'Grand Old Party' from a controversial figure like Trump. This very possibility prompted Donald Trump to threaten the Republican Party harshly on Wednesday. In an interview with CNN, he stated that if he could not secure the nomination due to party regulations and, for example, was sidelined with 1,100 delegates, a 'rebellion' would occur, and according to him, millions of people who voted for him would not remain silent!