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Factional Warfare in Iran Over US Talks, Succession Mutiny, and Currency Collapse

Jul 18, 2026 July 18, 2026 4 min read 📰 NCRI
📋 Key Takeaway

Iran is experiencing intense factional warfare over US talks, succession issues, and currency collapse, with President Masoud Pezeshkian openly criticizing state media. The formal designation of the IRGC as a terrorist organization by the British government has also caused panic within state-run media.

🔍 Quick Context Guide
💡 Bottom Line: The Iranian regime is facing significant internal fractures that could impact its governance and international relations.

👥 Key Players

Masoud Pezeshkian (مسعود پزشکان) ACTOR
President of Iran
"Pezeshkian openly attacked the state broadcaster (IRIB)..."
Alireza Arafi QUOTED
Senior member of the Guardian Council
"Arafi publicly demanded a total termination of the late June 2026 nuclear memorandum."
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel QUOTED
Member of the Expediency Council
"Haddad-Adel explicitly rooted for talks, asserting, 'Negotiation can also be in the direction of securing the nation’s interests.'"
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf QUOTED
Parliament Speaker
"Ghalibaf issued a detailed statement defending his stance, stating, 'Negotiation at this stage... is part of the strategy of resistance.'"
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) (سپاه پاسداران انقلاب اسلامی) TARGET
Military organization
"The formal terrorist designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) by the British government..."

⚡ Actions

Masoud Pezeshkian ATTACK state broadcaster (IRIB)
"Pezeshkian openly attacked the state broadcaster (IRIB), declaring, 'When they say on the IRIB that the military is on one side and the government is on another, this means a rift...'"
Confidence: 90%
Alireza Arafi DEMAND nuclear memorandum
"Arafi publicly demanded a total termination of the late June 2026 nuclear memorandum."
Confidence: 90%
Iranian regime ESCALATE localized terror
"The regime has escalated localized terror, exemplified by border guards fatally shooting a Kurdish kulbar."
Confidence: 80%

📰 What Happened

Internal factions in Iran clash over US negotiations amid economic collapse and succession issues.

  • Masoud Pezeshkian attack state broadcaster (IRIB)
  • Alireza Arafi demand nuclear memorandum
  • Iranian regime escalate localized terror

💡 Why It Matters

🇮🇷 For Iran: Because the internal conflict threatens the regime's stability and control over the country.
🌍 Regional: Because it may lead to increased tensions and military actions in the Middle East.
🌐 International: Because it complicates US-Iran relations and affects global oil markets.

📚 Background

The Iranian regime is facing significant internal fractures that could impact its governance and international relations.

📝 Key Evidence

"When they say on the IRIB that the military is on one side and the government is on another, this means a rift."
→ Indicates internal conflict within the Iranian regime.
📡 Source: OPPOSITION
📊 Confidence: 70%
The source is aligned with opposition views, which may influence the portrayal of events.

HomeIran News NowFactional Warfare in Iran Over US Talks, Succession Mutiny, and Currency Collapse  

Iran News Now Factional Warfare in Iran Over US Talks, Succession Mutiny, and Currency Collapse  

Written by Dr. Masumeh Bolurchi

17th July 2026

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FILE PHOTO: Brawl between MPs in Iran’s parliament (Majlis) Two-minute war 

On July 14, 2026, a massive state ceremony at Tehran’s Musalla, orchestrated to cement hereditary succession under Mojtaba Khamenei, instead exposed a deeply volatile regime fracture. While Mostafa Khamenei (Mojtaba’s older brother) urged patience, the hardline crowd erupted into hostile chants of “Death to the compromiser!” and “Pezeshkian, where is your commitment?”. This internal crisis promptly spilled into an executive-military clash; The regime’s president Masoud Pezeshkian openly attacked the state broadcaster (IRIB), declaring, “When they say on the IRIB that the military is on one side and the government is on another, this means a rift and that’s what Israel does.” 

This internal rupture has triggered a vicious “war of thugs” over reviving negotiations with Washington. Parliament Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf issued a detailed statement defending his stance, stating, “Negotiation at this stage… is not equivalent to compromise, but rather, alongside war, it is part of the strategy of resistance and safeguarding national interests.” 

Bolstering this faction, Expediency Council member Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel explicitly rooted for talks, asserting, “That the nation wants revenge and the leadership of the nation also wants revenge has no contradiction with negotiation. Negotiation can also be in the direction of securing the nation’s interests.”  

However, the regime’s uncompromising ultra-hardliners have staged a ferocious counter-offensive. Alireza Arafi, a senior member of the Guardian Council, publicly demanded a total termination of the late June 2026 nuclear memorandum, insisting that the president “must consider the memorandum finished and take the path of steadfastness.” Directly mocking Pezeshkian’s economic anxieties, Arafi warned that “officials should not back down from the rightful rights of the Islamic Ummah under the pretext of economic problems and fear of war costs,” while MP Hamid Rasaee slammed Ghalibaf for closing the parliament, accusing security organs of silencing media outlets criticizing “negotiation and agreement with the leader’s killer.” 

"Washington was prepared to provide a financial and #diplomatic lifeline; however, Tehran's regime lacked both the will and the capacity to play along. Because it is too weak and fragile to accept it," @MehdiOghbai writes.https://t.co/6R3QiV6hSS

— NCRI-FAC (@iran_policy) July 14, 2026

Kinetic Warfare, Terror Listings, and Systemic Ruin Tehran’s institutional paralysis has left it completely exposed to shifting military realities. Overnight on July 16, 2026, US military air strikes targeted and destroyed critical infrastructure and transit routes across southern Iran, prompting frantic retaliatory strikes by Tehran against Kuwaiti energy hubs and Iraqi Kurdistan. Consequently, on Friday, July 17, 2026, the free market panicked. The US dollar skyrocketed past an unprecedented 191,000 tomans on trading platforms like TGJU, entirely erasing the temporary economic stabilization achieved by the June memorandum.  

Meanwhile, the formal terrorist designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) by the British government has triggered absolute panic within state-run media. On July 17, 2026, the daily Resalat condemned the listing as a highly “provocative step,” while the IRGC-affiliated outlet Tabnak warned that “calling the IRGC a terrorist group opens Britain’s hand for military operations against Iran” and will allow Western powers to smoothly seize state assets abroad.  

Under existential threat, the regime has escalated localized terror, exemplified by border guards fatally shooting a Kurdish kulbar in Oramanat on July 14, 2026. Yet, this domestic brutality is fueling a massive revolt within Iran’s penal system, where thousands of inmates in Ghezel Hesar prison are maintaining a severe hunger strike against executions.  

Concurrently, human rights data indicates catastrophic overcrowding and the illegal mixing of political dissidents with ISIS convicts inside Shiraz’s Adelabad prison. As the clerical elite cannibalize one another over foreign policy, this profound systemic decay offers an unprecedented opening for the organized democratic coalition to transform widespread public fury into another wave of uprisings against the clerical dictatorship.  

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Translated from the original and edited for English readers. View original source →

Translation confidence: 100%

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